Canada Ammonia Market Overview, 2030

The ammonia market in Canada is on the cusp of transformative growth heading into 2030, fueled by a combination of traditional sector demands and an evolving emphasis on environmental sustainability and energy transition. As an industrial staple, ammonia's applications are deeply entrenched in agriculture, chemical manufacturing, and increasingly, the emerging green energy sectors. Historically, the Canadian ammonia industry has largely catered to agricultural needs, with vast applications in nitrogen fertilizers essential for crop yields in key farming provinces like Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba. However, the contemporary narrative is changing as new technological innovations, government initiatives toward carbon neutrality, and global decarbonization efforts drive fresh interest in ammonia’s potential as a hydrogen carrier and a clean energy source. Canadian producers are now navigating a landscape where traditional supply chains are being complemented by pilot projects in blue and green ammonia, spurred by federal policies and international climate commitments. Canada’s access to abundant natural gas, renewable energy resources, and geological carbon storage sites provides a distinct advantage in this pivot. Nevertheless, realizing this potential faces challenges, including high capital requirements for new production technologies, competition from international low-carbon ammonia exporters, and the need to modernize aging infrastructure.

According to the research report, "Canada Ammonia Market Overview, 2030," published by Bonafide Research, the Canada Ammonia Market is anticipated to add to more than USD 470 Million by 2025–30. The agricultural sector's increasing demand for nitrogen-based fertilizers, the chemical industry's need for ammonia as a feedstock, and the adoption of sustainable practices, such as carbon capture and utilization (CCU) technologies, to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Recent developments include the expansion of production capacities, with companies like CF Industries and Yara International investing in new facilities to meet the rising demand. Major players in the Canadian ammonia market include Nutrien Ltd., CF Industries Holdings Inc., Terra Nitrogen Company, L.P., and Yara International ASA, offering products ranging from anhydrous and aqueous ammonia to specialized fertilizers and industrial chemicals. Opportunities in the market lie in the development of green ammonia, produced using renewable energy sources, which is gaining traction in power generation and fertilizer applications due to its environmental benefits. Compliance with environmental regulations, such as Canada's Clean Electricity Regulations and emissions reduction targets, is essential for companies to operate sustainably and meet market demands. The latest market trends indicate a shift towards green ammonia production, with significant investments and projects underway, reflecting the industry's commitment to sustainability and innovation.

As agricultural practices evolve toward more precision-based farming and sustainability, there is growing demand for advanced ammonia-based products that offer improved nutrient delivery while minimizing environmental runoff. In chemical manufacturing, ammonia serves as an irreplaceable building block for producing a wide array of industrial and consumer goods. Industries are increasingly focusing on cleaner production pathways that incorporate ammonia in environmentally responsible ways, enhancing its role not just as a feedstock but as a facilitator of sustainable industrial practices. In the food and beverage sector, ammonia’s use in refrigeration systems is gaining renewed attention, particularly with regulations phasing out hydrofluorocarbon-based refrigerants due to their global warming potential. Here, ammonia’s natural properties make it a preferred alternative for large-scale, environmentally friendly cooling solutions. Wastewater treatment is another critical segment, where ammonia solutions assist in biological nutrient removal processes, ensuring that treatment facilities meet tightening environmental discharge requirements. Additional growth avenues are emerging in sectors like mining, metallurgy, construction, and power generation, where ammonia is being explored for novel applications such as emissions reduction technologies and as a hydrogen carrier for clean fuel applications.

Anhydrous ammonia, a pure, pressurized form of ammonia gas, remains the dominant product due to its efficiency and cost-effectiveness, particularly in agricultural applications where direct soil injection allows for high nutrient uptake. However, handling anhydrous ammonia requires specialized infrastructure and strict safety measures because of its highly hazardous nature, prompting some industries to seek alternatives. Aqueous ammonia, which is ammonia dissolved in water, offers a safer, more manageable solution, especially for industries like wastewater treatment, food processing, and industrial cleaning, where lower concentrations and easier handling procedures are preferred. The increasing push for occupational safety, combined with the rise of automation in industrial systems, is expected to slightly tilt market growth toward aqueous ammonia in non-agricultural sectors. Furthermore, the use of aqueous ammonia in emerging applications such as emissions control technologies, including Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) systems in industrial facilities, is providing additional growth momentum. Both forms will continue to play vital roles across different sectors, but innovations in packaging, transportation, and application technologies could enhance the attractiveness of aqueous ammonia in the coming years.

Traditional grey ammonia, produced using steam methane reforming of natural gas without carbon capture, remains the predominant form today but faces growing pressure due to its high carbon footprint. Blue ammonia, produced similarly but with carbon capture and storage technologies applied, is rapidly emerging as a transitional solution that can leverage Canada’s abundant fossil fuel resources while mitigating emissions. Several projects, particularly in Alberta, are exploring large-scale blue ammonia production to supply both domestic and export markets, with Europe and Asia expressing strong future demand for low-carbon ammonia. Green ammonia, created through electrolysis powered by renewable energy sources such as wind or solar, is viewed as the future of truly sustainable ammonia production. Although commercial-scale production remains limited, significant investment and research efforts are underway to scale green ammonia technologies, with Canada aiming to position itself as a global leader in this field. Turquoise ammonia, produced through methane pyrolysis yielding solid carbon instead of CO2, is also gaining attention, although it remains at an experimental stage with scalability challenges. The diversification of production methods is critical not only for reducing the carbon intensity of ammonia but also for opening new markets, such as hydrogen transportation and clean marine fuels



Considered in this report
• Historic Year: 2019
• Base year: 2024
• Estimated year: 2025
• Forecast year: 2030

Aspects covered in this report
• Ammonia Market with its value and forecast along with its segments
• Various drivers and challenges
• On-going trends and developments
• Top profiled companies
• Strategic recommendation

By Production Method
• Grey/Brown
• Blue
• Green
• Turquoise

By End-Use Industry
• Agriculture
• Chemical Manufacturing
• Food & Beverage
• Wastewater Treatment
• Others (Mining & Metallurgy, Construction, Power Generation, etc..)

By Chemical Form
• Anhydrous Ammonia
• Aqueous Ammonia

The approach of the report:
This report consists of a combined approach of primary as well as secondary research. Initially, secondary research was used to get an understanding of the market and listing out the companies that are present in the market. The secondary research consists of third-party sources such as press releases, annual report of companies, analyzing the government generated reports and databases. After gathering the data from secondary sources primary research was conducted by making telephonic interviews with the leading players about how the market is functioning and then conducted trade calls with dealers and distributors of the market. Post this we have started doing primary calls to consumers by equally segmenting consumers in regional aspects, tier aspects, age group, and gender. Once we have primary data with us we have started verifying the details obtained from secondary sources.

Intended audience
This report can be useful to industry consultants, manufacturers, suppliers, associations & organizations related to agriculture industry, government bodies and other stakeholders to align their market-centric strategies. In addition to marketing & presentations, it will also increase competitive knowledge about the industry.